Cross-Asset Divergence
Measures alignment between crypto and TradFi regime signals. Returns NONE / LOW / MODERATE / HIGH / EXTREME with a divergence score 0–10, dominant direction, and contagion_amplified flag. Ed25519 signed. $0.50. 60s cache.
What It Does
When crypto and TradFi are moving in the same direction, risk is more predictable — both are in risk-on or both are in risk-off. When they diverge significantly, one market is pricing in something the other isn't. HIGH or EXTREME divergence historically precedes mean-reversion in one direction.
Combines signals from BTC/ETH/SOL perp regimes, TradFi Regime, MSSI, MSTI, Macro Risk, Regime Change, basis, and funding into a single cross-domain divergence reading.
Divergence Levels
| Level | Score | Interpretation |
|---|---|---|
NONE | 0–1 | Crypto and TradFi fully aligned — risk reads agree |
LOW | 1–3 | Minor divergence — normal noise between markets |
MODERATE | 3–6 | Meaningful divergence — one market pricing in something different |
HIGH | 6–8 | Significant divergence — elevated mean-reversion risk |
EXTREME | 8–10 | Rare misalignment — historically precedes sharp moves in one direction |
Endpoint
| Endpoint | Description | Price | Cache | Preview |
|---|---|---|---|---|
/oracle/intel/divergence | Cross-asset divergence level, score, direction, and contagion flag | $0.50 | 60s | /preview ↗ |
Response Format
{
"service": "divergence",
"layer": "Oracle Intelligence",
"divergence": "MODERATE",
"divergence_score": 3.0,
"direction": "crypto_leads_recovery",
"crypto_stance": "BULLISH",
"tradfi_stance": "NEUTRAL",
"contagion_amplified": false,
"disclaimer": "This is a market regime classification derived from quantitative signals, not financial advice...",
"signed": true,
"fetched_at": 1781100000
}Preview Endpoint
Returns divergence, divergence_score, direction, crypto_stance, tradfi_stance, and contagion_amplified — unsigned, up to 24h stale.
curl https://api.myceliasignal.com/oracle/intel/divergence/preview
Agent Use Patterns
Risk overlay: When divergence is HIGH or EXTREME and crypto_stance is BULLISH while tradfi_stance is STRESS, apply a discount to crypto long signals — TradFi stress historically pulls crypto down.
Opportunity identification: When direction is crypto_leads_recovery and divergence is MODERATE, crypto may be pricing in a TradFi recovery before it's visible in equity data — potential leading indicator.
Contagion gate: If contagion_amplified is true, any TradFi shock is likely to transmit directly into crypto — tighten stops and reduce leverage.